The Los Angeles Clippers will square off against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. Even with Paul George out, OddsShopper’s betting model is still fading one other member of the Clippers’ backcourt. This Russell Westbrook player prop for Pelicans-Clippers has tons of value at BetMGM. For more Pelicans-Clippers player prop bets and NBA predictions, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles. I’ve already locked in two other player props for this evening’s action.
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Pelicans-Clippers Odds & Best Bet Tonight | Russell Westbrook Player Prop
Russell Westbrook O/U 17.5 Points
I’m not sure what BetMGM is cooking with this line. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the under for this prop priced at -160. But with BetMGM taking action at -125, bettors can score a ton of value relative to the market — just don’t expect it to last very long. Manually finding mispriced props like this one can prove time-intensive, but OddsShopper’s betting model does the heavy lifting for you.
This isn’t purely a market-based play. Westbrook is averaging only 15.5 points per game this year and 14.1 per game with the Los Angeles Clippers. He has stayed under this number in all but two of his starts with the Clippers. He is also averaging 14 points per game against the New Orleans Pelicans this year, although both of those games came with the Los Angeles Lakers.
Russell Westbrook Under 17.5 PTS -125 for 0.5u pic.twitter.com/wNISGT4vMg
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 25, 2023
So where do the other books have this prop priced? Aside from Pinnacle, DraftKings has the under at -135. Caesars has it at -143. But because bettors can lock in the -125 at BetMGM, this play has an expected ROI of 4%. The under should hit 58% of the time, giving us plenty of edge relative to the implied odds (55.6%) available via the book. Readers who are yet to register at BetMGM can score up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance!
Not every model pick wins, but getting exposure to every market that OddsShopper’s betting model identifies as a +ROI wager is a great way to make a profit. The model has helped bettors who placed $100 on every +ROI bet five minutes before the start of each game since mid-January make $40,000! To try it out, simply sign up for a 7-day free trial by clicking on the ad below!
Pelicans-Clippers Player Prop Bet: Russell Westbrook Over 17.5 Points (-125 for 0.5 Unit) at BetMGM