Jalen Hurts looks to help the Philadelphia Eagles avenge last year’s loss in Super Bowl LVII when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and we have you covered with our Jalen Hurts player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Philadelphia is the first team to start 8-1 or better in consecutive seasons since the 2005-06 Indianapolis Colts. Its 28-23 home win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9 was its seventh straight home win (including playoffs), and the Eagles are 3-0 against the NFC East for the first time since 2017. Six of Philadelphia’s eight wins have been by nine or fewer points.
Kansas City improved to 7-2 with a 21-14 Week 9 win against the Miami Dolphins in Germany. The win was Andy Reid’s 124th, which tied him with Hank Stram for the most regular season wins by a Chiefs head coach. The Chiefs improved to 9-0 in its last nine games following a regular season loss since 2021. In addition, Reid’s teams are 21-4 SU in the previous 25 games played on eight or more days of rest.
Make sure to check out our Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, MNF expert picks, and NFL player props to go along with our best Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for the Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for Week 11
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Jalen Hurts player props
Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 completions (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jalen Hurts’ last game against the Cowboys was the only game in his previous seven where he had fewer than 23 completions, let alone 21. However, Kansas City has seemingly transformed its image from a juggernaut offensive team to a staunch defensive team overnight, and we expect it to limit Hurts’ passing output again.
The Chiefs allow the third-lowest QBR in the league, and they rank in the top six in yards allowed per attempt and adjusted completion rate since Week 5.
From 2018-22 (2018 was Patrick Mahomes’ first year as a starter), the Chiefs ranked first in points per game and 13th in points per game allowed. This year, Kansas City ranks 13th in offensive points per game and tied for second in points per game allowed.
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Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (+125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Hurts is the No. 1 quarterback in fantasy football, and while his passing numbers have a lot to do with that, his rushing numbers are off the charts compared to the rest of the position.
Hurts has the third-most rushing yards (316) among all quarterbacks and the most rushing touchdowns (seven) while also ranking first in red zone carries. If the Eagles ever get inside the two-yard line, there is a good chance the “Brotherly Shove” play is coming, and Philadelphia’s high conversion rate on those plays always makes Hurts a viable threat to find the endzone.
This is only a three-star play, as Kansas City has allowed just three players to score a rushing touchdown this season, but it has not faced a running quarterback with Hurts’ skill set, and Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in four of the previous five games. He torched the Chiefs for 70 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns in last year’s Super Bowl.
Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions (-104 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
Hurts had three total touchdowns in the Week 9 win against Dallas, but it is worth noting that it was just his second game this season with zero turnovers. Hurts has thrown at least one interception in five of nine games, and Kansas City can do things defensively to rattle the Eagles signal caller.
Against defensive back blitzes this season, Hurts ranks 30th in completion percentage, 28th in yards per attempt, and 26th in QBR. Meanwhile, when sending a cornerback blitz, the Chiefs defense ranks first in completion percentage allowed, first in yards per attempt, and second in QBR. This is significant as Kansas City uses defensive back blitzes at the third-highest rate in the NFL (18%) and could be the key to forcing Hurts into a pick.
Jalen Hurts player prop picks made 11/20/2023 at 6:11 a.m. ET.
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