Check out our free 76ers vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
76ers vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Monday, March 27th
- Betting Odds DEN -5, PHI +175 | DEN -213 O/U OFF
The 76ers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 49-25. So far, the team has gone 42-31-1 against the spread. Over the 76ers current 2 game losing streak, they have an average scoring differential of -14.0 points per game.
Philadelphia is trying to bounce back from a 125-105 loss to the Suns. Going into this game, the team was 1 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. In the defeat, Philadelphia did not outscore the Suns in a single quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Tyrese Maxey, as he contributed 37 points while hitting 73.7% of his shots.
So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 50-24, while going 40-33-1 vs the spread. Denver comes into the game having rattled off 3 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 14.33 points per game
In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Bucks by a score of 129-106. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 3 point favorites. Denver went on to win the game, despite trailing by 3 going into halftime. In the win, Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the 76ers picked up the 126-119 win over the Nuggets. The 76ers point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 3.0 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the 76ers averaged 106.5 points per game vs the Nuggets. While the 76ers were able to maintain their usual level of production against Denver, the Nuggets averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 101.5. The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between 76ers and Nuggets with just -1 points per game separating the teams. Philadelphia has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. Philadelphia and Denver averaged a combined 215 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-2-1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the Philadelphia offense is ranked 14th in the NBA in scoring at 115.2 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the 76ers are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 97.1 per contest. Not only does the team’s offense play at a slower pace, but they their overall lack of efficiency has them ranked 25th in made field goals per game.
So far, the 76ers have played well defensively, as they are ranked 8th in the league at 107.33 points per contest.
Right now there are question marks across the board heading into this game for the 76ers as there is a chance they will be without their two leading scorers vs the Nuggets. Before getting any money down on this game, be sure to check who is available, as Joel Embiid and James Harden have a combined scoring average of 54.699999999999996 points per game. For the season, Embiid is 4th in the NBA in player efficiency and 1st in usage percentage. Through 61 games, he has a field goal percentage of 54.5%. If he is able to take the floor, he will be facing a defense that is 18th in points allowed to centers.
Denver will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 116.8 points per game (7th). So far, the Nuggets are averaging 98.0 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 38.9% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
On defense, the Nuggets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 14th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
This season, the Nuggets offense has primarily worked through Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 66 games, Jokic is 23rd in the NBA at 24.9 points per game. So far, him and Murray have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 45.099999999999994 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jamal Murray is grabbing 4.0 rebounds for Denver to go along with 6.2 assists.
76ers vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: 76ers +5
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF